看了一下有人搬来了一个网站FiveThirtyEight的预测,2016年都预测了些什么
所有跟帖:
• 预测很准嘛,可以得90分 -mojomojo- ♂ (411 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 18:23:19
• You don’t understand the difference btw chance and poll #s -orlandomagic- ♂ (0 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 18:30:53
• The Economist gave this time a 96% chance of a Biden win. -orlandomagic- ♂ (0 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 18:35:24
• They were accurate in 2018 mid-term. 2016 is likely an outlier. -ayan- ♀ (0 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 18:31:08
• 2018年川普没有在选票上。 -bustout- ♀ (0 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 18:33:18
• FiveThirtyEight不据说是大选民调最全面最权威的网站吗? -柴郡猫- ♀ (0 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 19:53:31
• They don't poll. They feed their model with public polls. They a -ayan- ♀ (49 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 20:06:06
• 是这个意思呢。想看所有最新民调,这个网站很好啊。 -柴郡猫- ♀ (0 bytes) () 10/30/2020 postreply 20:23:58