牛经沧海 - 博客

(2008-04-19 16:45:59)

假设:每年需要10万(按今天的价值)
参数:通膨1%至10%；投资回报8%至15%
变量:1需备存款多少15年后可无忧退休?
2需备存款多少现在就可无忧退休?
答1:需备存款40万至3米15年后可无忧退休(详见下表)。
答2:需备存款80万至6米现在就可无忧退休。
注释1:通膨设为4%较合理，但10%完全可能。无人能合理预测未来45年通膨率。考
虑美国政府挥霍无度，通膨率趋高无疑。阅读全文]

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Initiate a Position of MSFT

(2008-04-18 07:23:11)

OrderDetailsforOrder#4740
TransactionStatus OrderDeion Date&Time Price
Executed
OrderPlaced-MSFT BuyMSFTLimitDay 04/18/20089:32:11AMET --
Executed-MSFT BuyMSFTLimitDay 04/18/200810:07:23AMET 29.66
Executed-MSFT BuyMSFTLimitDay 04/18/200810:07:23AMET 29.66
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Close MLNM positions/Initiate a position in XLF

(2008-04-14 10:04:53)

TransactionStatus OrderDeion Date&Time Price
Executed
OrderPlaced-XLF BuyXLFLimitDay 04/14/200811:07:52AMET --
Executed-XLF BuyXLFLimitDay 04/14/200811:10:10AMET 24.60
Executed-XLF BuyXLFLimitDay 04/14/200811:10:15AMET 24.60
Executed-XLF BuyXLFLimitDay 04/14/200811:10:19AMET 24.60
Executed-XLF BuyXLFLimitDay 04/14/200811:14:11AMET 24.60
TransactionStatus Orde...[阅读全文]

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Close FMCN

(2008-02-28 18:04:45)

TransactionStatusOrderDescriptionDate&Time
Price
Executed
OrderPlaced-FMCNSellFMCNLimitGT6001/18/20088:06:57AMET
--
Executed-FMCNSellFMCNLimitGT6002/28/200810:12:13AMET
54.00
Executed-FMCNSellFMCNLimitGT6002/28/200810:12:13AMET
54.00
Executed-FMCNSellFMCNLimitGT6002/28/200810:12:13AMET
54.00
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Closed FXI/ERTS/LOGI -- Oooouch

(2008-01-23 14:46:31)

TransactionStatus OrderDescription Date&Time PriceOrderPlaced-FXI SellFXILimitDay 01/22/200810:06:22AMET --Executed-FXI SellFXILimitDay 01/22/200810:43:46AMET 149.85Executed-FXI SellFXILimitDay 01/22/200810:43:51AMET 149.85 OrderPlaced-ERTS SellERTSLimitGT60 01/22/200810:04:01AMET --Executed-ERTS SellERTSLimitGT60 01/22/200810:04:03AMET 49.01Executed-ERTS SellERTSLimitGT60 01/22/200810:04:...[阅读全文]

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Eight indicators for a possible turnaround today

(2008-01-09 12:31:40)

1.AsiadidnotfollowUS'sselloff
2.QQVreaches31,veryclosetoitshigh
3.GSpublishitsrecessionassessment
4.Markettendstobouncefrom2:30PMonWednesdaysorThursdays
5.Oversold
6.OEinaweek
7.Fedmtgsoon
8.Bush'sstateofunionaddress [阅读全文]

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Add FXI LEAPS

(2008-01-09 12:13:44)

Marketseemsfoundabottomfornow?TransactionStatusOrderDescriptionDate&TimePrice
ExecutedOrderPlaced-FAHEHBuyOpenFAHEHLimitGT6001/09/20083:08:10PMET--Executed-FAHEHBuyOpenFAHEHLimitGT6001/09/20083:08:11PMET40.00[阅读全文]

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大胆假设鼓斗志，小心求证积利润

(2008-01-01 14:57:51)

牛经沧海
1/1/2008送别风风雨雨的2007，走进2008的第一天。不管等待我们的股市究竟怎样，无妨作一些猜度。若是不着边际，权为笑谈。如懵对一二，纯属巧合。沧海以为，次贷风波及其引发的信用危机，还要一年的时间来消化。所幸的是，大市在08年会有意想不到的行情。美股行情的肇因乃资产价值重估。房地产，石油及原材料在伊战以来均上涨一至三倍，惟股票作为流通性[阅读全文]

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Start a Position on CEO

(2007-12-19 11:54:54)

TransactionStatusOrderDescriptionDate&Time
Price
Executed
OrderPlaced-CEOBuyCEOLimitDay12/19/20072:52:24PMET
--
Executed-CEOBuyCEOLimitDay12/19/20072:52:28PMET
158.66
Executed-CEOBuyCEOLimitDay12/19/20072:52:28PMET
158.66
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Close AUY Positions

(2007-12-19 07:32:16)

TransactionStatusOrderDescriptionDate&Time
Price
Executed
OrderPlaced-AUYSell AUYLimitDay12/19/200710:28:59AMET
--
Executed-AUYSell AUYLimitDay12/19/200710:30:10AMET
12.25
Executed-AUYSell AUYLimitDay12/19/200710:30:10AMET
12.25
Executed-AUYSell AUYLimitDay12/19/200710:30:10AMET
12.25
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牛经沧海投资感悟生活点滴