be logic. the point here is not who is going to win.

if you believe Nate's predicition that Thrump is going to win if election were held today, you should also believe his prediction that Hillary would win on election day. 

you don't have to believe him,  but just don't cherry pick his number, as lots of Trump fans always do here :-)

 

所有跟帖： 

• 他的预测随着poll数据改变， 两个星期前还预测希婆80%能赢， 现在只有54%。 统计是看趋势， -bustout- ♀ (51 bytes) () 09/26/2016 postreply 13:07:48