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market is surging, what is MY plan

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this plan only applies to myself.

After reducing equities from 70% accumulated in April - August, to 60% in early October (this was predetermined trade management decision, in hindsight if I hold them all I'd be 80% in equities today lol), then I had to further reduce to 45% a few days ago (just to manage some accounts).

market is surging - do I not feel the least big of regret that I reduced too much? I'd be lying if I say I don't.... but position/account management is the part of the job, so overall - no regrets.

so what to do now - trend is definitely up... so buying on the next dip should be a low risk move... i.e. even if the dip goes below the entry point, there will likely be a rebound to get you out of trouble.

there is also a possibility that a meaningful dip never comes.... so here is something that an experienced trader can do.... rather than trying to chase the pig... will just have to look for when the pig gets fat enough to set up short side trades.

So the opportunities are always there.. the market opens everyday... humans will always repeat their mistakes, by being overly pessimistic or euphoric... now I have 45% in cash, plenty of ammo to fight the next battle when the price action determines that a turning point is coming.

meanwhile - looking for a warm place for vacation.... it's been a good year, time to reward the hard work.

所有跟帖: 

• 哈,typical about-the-face talking -Conehead-给 Conehead 发送悄悄话 Conehead 的博客首页 Conehead 的个人群组 (133 bytes) () 11/4/10 09:29:30
• yo Cone ! lol -noconfusion-给 noconfusion 发送悄悄话 noconfusion 的博客首页 noconfusion 的个人群组 (471 bytes) () 11/4/10 10:09:57
• Too bad I only started paying attention -Conehead-给 Conehead 发送悄悄话 Conehead 的博客首页 Conehead 的个人群组 (124 bytes) () 11/4/10 11:25:38
• seeing is believing -noconfusion-给 noconfusion 发送悄悄话 noconfusion 的博客首页 noconfusion 的个人群组 (75 bytes) () 11/4/10 11:37:00
• Oh yeh, there is short-term gain tax iss -Conehead-给 Conehead 发送悄悄话 Conehead 的博客首页 Conehead 的个人群组 (76 bytes) () 11/4/10 11:48:57
• bro, I'm 100% cash + options -rx300-给 rx300 发送悄悄话 rx300 的个人群组 (580 bytes) () 11/4/10 09:39:16
• 老大,实在人!再说吃鱼吃中段不是书上倡导的吗。 -万枫-给 万枫 发送悄悄话 万枫 的博客首页 万枫 的个人群组 (0 bytes) () 11/4/10 09:54:05
• it is good to think about short in a soa -longterminvestor-给 longterminvestor 发送悄悄话 longterminvestor 的博客首页 longterminvestor 的个人群组 (48 bytes) () 11/4/10 10:03:12
• 2nd -美西游子-给 美西游子 发送悄悄话 美西游子 的博客首页 美西游子 的个人群组 (0 bytes) () 11/4/10 10:54:13
• Strongly disagree -rx300-给 rx300 发送悄悄话 rx300 的个人群组 (123 bytes) () 11/4/10 11:07:32
• then just stay solvent, do not short too -longterminvestor-给 longterminvestor 发送悄悄话 longterminvestor 的博客首页 longterminvestor 的个人群组 (12 bytes) () 11/4/10 11:08:35

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