Soros01:Europe Banking System Needs to Be Bolstered

来源: marketreflections 2011-10-14 15:18:16 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (12930 bytes)

金融大鳄、量子基金创始人索罗斯(GeorgeSoros)周三(9月14日)表示,欧债危机可能引发欧元崩溃,进而导致全球经济大萧条,除非欧洲决策者采取包括发行“欧元债券”在内的一系列有效措施。

索罗斯撰文指出,欧洲决策者必须为希腊、葡萄牙及爱尔兰出现债务违约且退出欧元体系的可能性做好应对措施。他称,欧盟当局的拖延战术已经来到死角。即使欧洲能避免一场债务违约大灾难,但财政紧缩政策将令欧元区进入经济衰退,这将是可怕的政治后果。

8月中旬,索罗斯在接受瑞士杂志L'Hebdo采访时表示,欧元崩溃可能引发全球金融危机,全球经济将陷入大萧条。欧元区领导人不接受欧元债券,欧元小命难保。同时,他表示欧洲的未来取决于德国,德国应该针对欧元区提出解决方案。

此外,索罗斯9月6日表示,目前欧洲银行业危机可能比雷曼兄弟要严重很多。欧洲缺乏一个权威机构来协调与应对这场严重的银行危机。

与此同时,索罗斯再次向欧元区决策者提出根治欧债危机的“药方”。索罗斯提出四项大胆的建议:1.疲弱国家的银行存款必须得到保护,以避免出现挤兑;2、面临违约威胁的国家必须维持部分银行的运营,以确保经济免于崩溃;3、欧洲银行体系必须进行资本重组,并置于欧盟的监管之下;4.其他财赤国家的政府债券必须得到保护。

索罗斯指出,这一切都需要资金支持,他们没有其他选择,只能设立欧元区共同债券。他承认,这样的举措将要求欧盟出台新的条约,并将引发更深层次的内部分歧,尤其是德国坚决反对为“肆意挥霍”的南欧国家买单。

值得一提的是,欧盟执行委员会(European Commission)主席巴罗佐(Jose Barroso)周三表示,他即将提出发行“欧元债券”的选项,此举使欧盟官员和德国在遏阻欧债危机上,面临立场冲突的局面。不过德国与法国昨日重申他们不会支持发行欧元债券。

索罗斯极力主张欧元区领导人接受“欧元债券”,以更好解决欧债危机。索罗斯指出,德国和其它信评为AAA国家必须接受某种形式的欧元债券机制。否则的话,欧元小命难保,欧元崩溃将掀起全球金融当局根本无力控制的银行危机。

Europe Banking System Needs to Be Bolstered, Soros Tells De Tijd

Q

The European Union’s banking system needs to be bolstered to protect it from a potential bankruptcy of a European nation, billionaire investor George Soros said in an interview with De Tijd.

“Together with an expansion of the European bailout fund, the banking system should be protected in the short term against a bankruptcy of a European country,” the newspaper quoted Soros as saying. “The banking system must effectively come under the guardianship of the European Central Bank. They must take care that banks don’t drastically begin to cut their bond portfolios,” Soros told De Tijd.

In an open letter to European leaders published today in De Tijd, Soros urged action to stem the euro crisis because current measures are insufficient, adding that the ECB and the European Financial Stability Facility should be empowered to work together to bring the crisis under control.

“Our political leaders still don’t understand what’s wrong with the financial system,” Soros said in the interview with the newspaper. “We stand on the edge of a catastrophe.”

An uncontrolled bankruptcy of a country such as Greecewould lead “without a doubt” to the collapse of the financial system and a worldwide depression, Soros said.

“We must take two important decisions to avoid that,”Soros said. “Euro-zone leaders must conclude a new treaty to become a budget union. This union must be able to issue euro bonds and urge budgetary discipline among governments.”

“But, we are not there yet,” Soros told the newspaper.“How are we going to take care that the economy continues to grow? Without growth, there is no solution, the debt load cannot be worked away unless there is a revival in the economy.”

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