周五,美国官员称,卫星情报显示朝鲜已做好准备,随时可以进行第6次核试验!

来源: austraveller 2017-03-24 23:33:16 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (28250 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ austraveller ] 在 2017-03-24 23:34:59 编辑过。如有问题,请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/03/24/us/north-korea-nuclear-test/index.html

Washington (CNN)Specific intelligence indicators now show that North Korea is ready for its sixth underground nuclear test at any time, two US officials told CNN on Friday.

Recent satellite imagery indicates a potentially significant change at the Punggye-ri test site, the officials said. For weeks, satellites had observed extensive activity on the surface, including vehicles, personnel and equipment, as well as two tunnel entrances being dug out.
But the most recent imagery shows that activity has now stopped. That is a similar change in the pattern of activity just before previous tests, indicating all final preparations are now complete, officials said.
The South Korean government issued a statement Friday saying a test can happen as soon as North Korean leader Kim Jong Un orders it.
"It is assessed that North Korea is ready to carry out a nuclear test anytime if its leadership decides to do so," Lee Duk-haeng, spokesman for South Korea's the Ministry of Unification, said in a press briefing. He said that "South Korean and US intelligence authorities evaluate that North Korea is ready to carry out a nuclear test anytime on the leadership's decision."
North Korea also continues to move equipment and personnel that could be used to launch ballistic missiles, the US officials said. They caution, however, it's impossible for the United States to know when a mobile launch or an underground nuclear test will happen. North Korea has a history of moving military personnel and gear around to deceive satellites the regime knows are watching.
North Korea a threat despite missile failure
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
North Korea a threat despite missile failure 02:41
The United States is maintaining the presence of a WC-135 aircraft in the region that can conduct air sampling after a suspected underground test. In past instances of Pyongyang's nuclear testing, one of the first signs that an underground explosion has happened is seismic activity picked up by the US Geological Survey in the location of the North Korean test site.
All of this comes as the Trump administration is reviewing whether there are fresh options for dealing with North Korea, a situation that the Trump and Obama administrations have agreed is extremely difficult to manage.
Trump expresses disapproval over North Korea
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trump expresses disapproval over North Korea 01:55
Privately, US military commanders have said any preemptive strikes by the US would likely result in a North Korean attack on Seoul, leading to disastrous consequences.
On an overseas trip to Asia earlier this month, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson acknowledged in Tokyo, "I think it's important to recognize that the diplomatic and other efforts of the past 20 years to bring North Korea to a point of denuclearization have failed."
That sentiment was already expressed late last year by then-Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, who called the effort to get North Korea to give up its nuclear program "probably a lost cause."

所有跟帖: 

金三认为还可以表演一段时间,因为韩国大选未定,候选人为选票不会公开支持打击朝鲜(韩国人50%持民族主义,年轻人生活安逸不愿统一) -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 09:04:15

除非朝鲜主动攻击,美国在不经韩国同意之下不会发起先发打击,韩国民间没有打击意愿,担心朝鲜的反击防不胜防使韩国损失 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 09:13:16

若得韩国领导层私下默许,美日倾向于先发打击。剩下的问题就是麻痹中国,抓住中国的两点投机心理:保持几千亿贸易顺差和终止台湾军售 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 09:25:34

经不起这两点诱惑(保持几千亿贸易顺差和终止台湾军售),中国很可能放弃朝鲜(配合美国,在经济上扼杀朝鲜)并为美国建设买单 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (185 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 09:40:47

除了中美联手经济制裁,由于朝鲜不掌握核武器小型化,没有战术核武器,美军可以用在通讯,运输上的孤立手段隔绝核设施并定点清除 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (77 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:15:39

朝鲜还有化学武器 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:18:00

伊拉克也被认为有化学武器,伊拉克的短程导弹比朝鲜多得多,所以美军比较有把握对付 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:29:19

伊拉克打击能力和朝鲜不是一个等级;另外伊拉克顾忌本国伤亡不敢使,但朝鲜未必 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:33:53

伊拉克武器系统比朝鲜高出几个数量级(不要扯核武器) -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:45:13

导弹高出几个数量级?前几天多枚中程导弹齐射,伊拉克啥时搞过? -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:46:57

导弹阵地,发射车/井,重要公路早已被瞄准,在第一轮打击下几乎殆尽,剩下的少数也没有精确制导,3架“咆哮者”就可以覆盖朝鲜全境 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:01:00

朝鲜也在想着第一轮打击下,对方还能有多少幸存的 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:03:30

强弱对阵,双方无论谁放第一枪,对方都会有损失。区别在于,弱者放第一枪,不能置对方于死地,反而加速自己的灭亡,强者一枪毙命 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:17:46

百姓大规模伤亡还有区别? -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:19:42

在周边国家这么大压力下,朝鲜估计很难弃核,而且朝鲜最近的进展也很快 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:14:30

朝鲜绝不会弃核,美国一定会在其能发明核导弹之前定点清除,目前是对付其短程导弹,象海湾战争一样,在其发射车拖出掩体时摧毁 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:23:57

在摧毁之前也许人家导弹就都打出去了;苏联的核突击理论估计很多人已经忘了 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:36:44

不可能万无一失,但是美军会组织力量率先打击导弹阵地和炮兵阵地,有海湾战争的经验,何况导弹防御技术已迅速发展 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:42:25

朝鲜也会想如何率先核武化武攻击美国的主要基地 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 10:49:09

化武就是用炮弹,射程有限,导弹有导弹防御,核武目前只能炸自己 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:05:06

化武就是用炮弹?靠幻想?最近朝鲜数枚导弹齐射打到识别区,哪个导弹系统有反应了? -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:06:13

哪查?马来西亚刺杀就说是化武,打仗的时候就认为化武不存在?自我欺骗? -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:15:05

它没有先进的化学武器发射系统 -立场- 给 立场 发送悄悄话 (239 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 11:32:11

原来导弹不算先进的 -austraveller- 给 austraveller 发送悄悄话 austraveller 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 03/25/2017 postreply 12:00:59

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