新研究显示近五分之一的肺癌无害

来源: ONCOCIDIA 2013-12-10 05:43:28 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (162 bytes)
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一项新研究显示近五分之一的肺癌是无害的,甚至不需治疗? 

 
FILE - In this June 3, 2010, file photo, Dr. Steven Birnbaum works with a patient in a CT scanner at Southern New Hampshire Medical Center in Nashua, N.H. A national study suggests the world's top cancer killer isn't always as deadly as doctors once thought, finding that more than 18 percent of lung cancers detected in screening scans are likely so slow growing that they’d never cause problems. But the provocative results are unlikely to change how doctors treat lung cancer. (AP Photo/Jim Cole, File)
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FILE - In this June 3, 2010, file photo, Dr. Steven Birnbaum works with a patient in a CT scanner at Southern New Hampshire Medical Center in Nashua, N.H. A national study suggests the world's top cancer killer isn't always as deadly as doctors once thought, finding that more than 18 percent of lung cancers detected in screening scans are likely so slow growing that they’d never cause problems. But the provocative results are unlikely to change how doctors treat lung cancer. (AP Photo/Jim Cole, File)

CHICAGO (AP) — Harmless lung cancer? A provocative study found that nearly 1 in 5 lung tumors detected on CT scans are probably so slow-growing that they would never cause problems.

The analysis suggests the world's No. 1 cause of cancer deaths isn't as lethal as doctors once thought.

In the study, these were not false-positives — suspicious results that turn out upon further testing not to be cancer. These were indeed cancerous tumors, but ones that caused no symptoms and were unlikely ever to become deadly, the researchers said.

Still, the results are not likely to change how doctors treat lung cancer.

For one thing, the disease is usually diagnosed after symptoms develop, when tumors show up on an ordinary chest X-ray and are potentially life-threatening.

Also, doctors don't know yet how to determine which symptomless tumors found on CT scans might become dangerous, so they automatically treat the cancer aggressively.

The findings underscore the need to identify biological markers that would help doctors determine which tumors are harmless and which ones require treatment, said Dr. Edward Patz, Jr., lead author and a radiologist at Duke University Medical Center. He is among researchers working to do just that.

Patz said patients who seek lung cancer screening should be told about the study results.

"People have to understand that we're going to find some cancers which if we'd never looked, we never would have had to treat," he said. Among patients and even many doctors, "it's not something that is commonly known with lung cancer."

A leader of an influential government-appointed health panel agreed.

"Putting the word 'harmless' next to cancer is such a foreign concept to people," said Dr. Michael LeFevre, co-chairman of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.

The panel recently issued a draft proposal recommending annual CT scans for high-risk current and former heavy smokers — echoing advice from the American Cancer Society. A final recommendation is pending, but LeFevre said the panel had already assumed that screening might lead to overdiagnosis.

"The more we bring public awareness of this, then the more informed decisions might be when people decide to screen or not," LeFevre said. He called the study "a very important contribution," but said doctors will face a challenge in trying to explain the results to patients.

In testimonials, patients often say lung cancer screening via CT scans cured them, but the study suggests that in many cases, "we cured them of a disease we didn't need to find in the first place," LeFevre said.

The study was published Monday in the journal JAMA Internal Medicine.

More than 200,000 Americans are diagnosed with lung cancer each year, and more than half of them die. Worldwide, there are about 1.5 million lung cancer deaths annually.

The new study is an analysis of data from the National Lung Cancer Screening Trial — National Cancer Institute research involving 53,452 people at high risk for lung cancer who were followed for about six years.

Half of them got three annual low-dose CT scans — a type of X-ray that is much more sensitive than the ordinary variety — and half got three annual conventional chest X-rays. During six years of follow-up, 1,089 lung cancers were diagnosed in CT scan patients, versus 969 in those who got chest X-rays.

That would suggest CT scans are finding many early cases of lung cancer that may never advance to the point where they could be spotted on an ordinary chest X-ray.

An earlier report on the study found that 320 patients would need to get CT screening to prevent one lung cancer death.

The new analysis suggests that for every 10 lives saved by CT lung cancer screening, almost 14 people will have been diagnosed with a lung cancer that would never have caused any harm, said Dr. Len Lichtenfeld, the cancer society's deputy chief medical officer.

He said that is a higher rate of overdiagnosis than he would have predicted, but that the study shows how much understanding of cancer has evolved. Decades ago, "every cancer was a bad cancer," he said.

Now it's known that certain cancers, including many prostate cancers, grow so slowly that they never need treatment.

The American College of Radiology said in statement Monday that the earlier study showed lung cancer screening significantly reduces lung cancer deaths in high-risk patients and that the benefit "significantly outweighs the comparatively modest rate of overdiagnosis" found in the new analysis.

Low-dose CT scans are the only test shown to reduce lung cancer deaths in high-risk smokers, the radiology group said, adding, "Overdiagnosis is an expected part of any screening program and does not alter these facts."

___

JAMA Internal Medicine: http://jamainternalmedicine.com

American Cancer Society: http://bit.ly/1cwqhfX
http://news.yahoo.com/study-says-many-lung-cancer-tumors-prove-harmless-213507793.html 

所有跟帖: 

这研究要引起地震啦。也就是有20%的病人白白地手术,化疗,放疗甚至死于过度治疗? -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 06:00:55

癌症的治疗真的要转转方向,向和平共处,与癌共舞发展。杀敌一千自损八百的方法要反思。 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 06:03:50

一朋友就是乳癌没去治疗,都已经活了十八年了 -Manymore- 给 Manymore 发送悄悄话 Manymore 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 07:01:51

乳癌有很多种的,恶性度还分三级,排列组合一下,同是乳癌其实还不一样。如果三阴,不 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (34 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 07:23:09

只是说不是所有的癌都是需要治的。 -Manymore- 给 Manymore 发送悄悄话 Manymore 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 08:03:12

以前就有研究说三分一的乳癌无害不需要治疗,所以这研究并不奇怪 -医者意也- 给 医者意也 发送悄悄话 医者意也 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 07:06:25

怎么能知道得的肺癌或乳癌是不需要治疗的那一种?赌不起啊,赌输了,可不能怪医生。 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 07:28:44

治疗也是一种赌博。很多人也是被治死的 -Manymore- 给 Manymore 发送悄悄话 Manymore 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 08:04:02

我已经多次看见被治死的病人。病人情况已经很不好了还继续化疗,癌没有杀死病人,化疗杀死了病人。 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 08:30:09

太对了!病人真可怜。 -swj2000- 给 swj2000 发送悄悄话 swj2000 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 08:48:17

病人真可怜?病人有权利拒绝治疗的,但是90%的病人会选择继续治疗。我认识的一个人,家里 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (261 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 11:33:20

这样的病人和家属很多。 -TBz- 给 TBz 发送悄悄话 TBz 的博客首页 (261 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 12:07:30

就是啊,不能一味责怪医生。 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 14:09:38

在医疗领域是不对称的。基本上是医生引导病人做决定。比如 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (200 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 12:17:06

癌症治疗还是不一样的,医生会告诉你,可能只有10%的人有效。病人想着往那10%里挤。 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 12:29:39

这也是问题,非专业人士根本不理解数字,只是一厢情愿地想得到最好的结果。 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 12:33:38

医生说了这么明白了,自己不懂还怪医生,医生总不能说不治了尽管还有option,病人反过来要告医生的。 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 14:08:23

化疗杀死了病人医生没有法律责任;没治而死医生要负责。所以医生宁可做化疗 -好好先生*- 给 好好先生* 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 09:12:19

医生的责任是提供所有的option让病人选择,决定是病人做的,医生不能强迫的。怪不得医生哈。 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 11:16:35

所以癌症之类的直接看中医,免得被西医骗。决定自己做的,不能怪别人。 -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 11:40:33

作为医生不能这么说。当病人的全身情况不好,就应该向病人说明,暂停治疗,纠正全身情况再做决定。 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (52 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 11:53:13

我有医疗知识和技能,但是我没有处分权,就是说:我没有选择,只有接受医生的处方。 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 11:54:44

到了DI那里,你也可以选择只做胃镜的(不做肠准备)。关键还是你意志不坚强;-)) -betadine- 给 betadine 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 12:24:08

我的意思是:决定是病人做,可是是被医生引导的。所以不是对等关系。 -薛成- 给 薛成 发送悄悄话 薛成 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 12/10/2013 postreply 12:30:39

在癌症起因不明的前提下,任何治疗方法都是一种赌博。我想这个观点应该被接受。 -happycow222- 给 happycow222 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 08/11/2016 postreply 10:49:36

进一步联想和可能性 -oncocidia- 给 oncocidia 发送悄悄话 (122 bytes) () 12/12/2013 postreply 16:53:59

再进一步联想 -ONCOCIDIA- 给 ONCOCIDIA 发送悄悄话 (488 bytes) () 12/13/2013 postreply 01:12:15

各种疗法均因存在此现象而混然居功? -ONCOCIDIA- 给 ONCOCIDIA 发送悄悄话 (612 bytes) () 12/15/2013 postreply 03:21:12

你说对了。但是,大样本也会有人扭曲数据,或公然做错误解读,误导患者去手术。 -山药社区乡音- 给 山药社区乡音 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 03/21/2015 postreply 12:38:24

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