房地产要不行了是真的吗?

来源: beware 2016-04-10 13:36:57 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (5184 bytes)
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这是一个投资大师写的帖子。我有些不相信,因为没有住在美国想问问真的是这种情况吗?

Property down - R

Real Estate is in crash mode. London and Hong Kong look the worst after both were off 15%+ in the first month of the turn from September 30, 2015. The Miami market has been flooded with money from South America whereas New York has been the target for Asia and Europe. The U.S. market is getting softer. Even in my own search for property in Florida, realtors are sending emails about price reductions. We should see a general decline here into 2016. As mortgage money is becoming tighter, cash deals are common, which is money trying to get out of banks in general. The IRS in the United States has targeted Miami and New York by directing that the name of buyers behind trusts and corporations be revealed. This is piercing the corporate veils for the purpose of taxes come 2017 with the new G20 reporting.

In many areas, such as New Jersey, the average home was still 20-25% below the 2007 peak. Consequently, this class of Real Estate is in the same type of crisis we saw in Japan and the Nikkei which prolong that bear market for 26+ years. There becomes a large supply pf people who would sell their homes placing on the market if prices got back up. So you have a large group who are looking to sell any higher prices and that becomes the capping mechanism.

所有跟帖: 

美国市场好着。一直跟踪东北大城市边上一成市房价比一年前又上涨了10%而且还是seller`s market 存货少。佛州中部大 -piris1987- 给 piris1987 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 13:55:05

多谢!我也觉得美国房子才跌过,应该很少泡沫! -beware- 给 beware 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 14:08:53

我2013年九月买的佛州公寓房,现在zillow估价翻了一番有余 -learner4ever- 给 learner4ever 发送悄悄话 (66 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 14:11:36

他预估下跌是从今年才开始呢!所以从2103到现在的投资也不会跌那么快! -beware- 给 beware 发送悄悄话 (98 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 14:21:18

我的直觉是我这里又一轮的泡沫才刚开始,我有三个房客买了自己的房,另一个也在询问我卖不卖房 -learner4ever- 给 learner4ever 发送悄悄话 (93 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 14:29:05

上个周末刚出来几个价格中等和中下的,三天后全部pending,只有价格高1米等还在 -piris1987- 给 piris1987 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 14:48:37

佛州中部独立房好的区价格比一年前也涨了10%. -piris1987- 给 piris1987 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 04/10/2016 postreply 14:52:14

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