The Stock Market Cycle (zt)

来源: 2018-02-11 16:03:40 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (1100 bytes)
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This stock market cycle is 18.5 years. It isn't precise clockwork, but it's about as good as you can get. To help give you a better understanding of the flow of the 18.5-year stock market cycle, take a look at what each letter represents.

 

In the early 1900s, a new calendar was the first of its kind — it predicted a stock market cycle that would occur repeatedly over the next 100 years.

 

2017 was an F year, and 2018 is listed as a G year. But 2019 isn't an H year. Instead, that is out to 2020. And this is where the cycle has some wiggle room on being accurate — there is a year or so in between there that the years can shift.

This year, 2018, will likely see the market panics that play into a larger drawdown,  and a rise in volatility. Then the low stock prices will bottom in late 2018 or 2019 before we head toward very high stock prices by 2020 and 2021.

 

所有跟帖: 

同意 就这么定 -cat18- 给 cat18 发送悄悄话 cat18 的博客首页 cat18 的个人群组 (0 bytes) () 02/11/2018 postreply 16:25:22

现在的图形离开那个距离差太远。同意。哪里有parbolic到头的迹象,太早太早。 -tom_high- 给 tom_high 发送悄悄话 tom_high 的个人群组 (0 bytes) () 02/14/2018 postreply 16:34:03

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