八月涨了3%，接下来呢？

来源: 扬老师 于 2014-08-28 17:23:53 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读： 次 (33554 bytes)
本文内容已被 [ 扬老师 ] 在 2014-08-28 18:02:32 编辑过。如有问题，请报告版主或论坛管理删除.

Since 1928, there have been 22 instances when the S&P gained more than 3 percent in August. 

In nearly three fourths of those instances the index gave back gains in September, losing an average 1.3 percent, and two-thirds of the time it was negative, it continued lower into the end of the year.

The table below provides S&P 500 returns in September and through the year when it closed more than 3 percent higher in August:

S&P 500 September performance

Year
S&P % Chg. Aug
S&P % Chg. Sep
S&P % Chg. Sep-EOY*
2009 3.36 3.57 9.26
2000 6.07 -5.35 -13.01
1994 3.76 -2.69 -3.41
1993 3.44 -1 0.62
1987 3.49 -2.41 -25.08
1986 7.12 -8.54 -4.26
1984 10.63 -0.35 0.34
1982 11.6 0.76 17.68
1979 5.31 -0.31 -1.26
1972 3.45 -0.49 6.27
1971 3.61 -0.7 3.09
1970 4.45 3.41 13.04
1969 4.01 -2.5 -3.61
1963 4.87 -1.1 3.48
1951 3.93 -0.09 1.93
1950 3.25 5.59 10.91
Avg 5.15 -0.76 1.00
% Positive   25 63
*EOY:EndofYear      

所有跟帖： 

• 简单地说，九月接着涨的可能性25% -扬老师- ♀ 给 扬老师 发送悄悄话 (48 bytes) () 08/28/2014 postreply 17:41:02

加跟帖：

当前帖子已经过期归档，不能加跟帖！