11个国家可能成为埃及,中国是其中一个。

来源: miat42 2011-02-01 08:44:13 [] [博客] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (2641 bytes)
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http://www.businessinsider.com/the-next-egypt-2011-1#

The 11 Countries At Risk of Becoming The Next Egypt

 
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China: Could a severe economic downturn derail the Chinese regime?

Investments to watch: iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund (FXI), iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index Fund (EWH)

Style of government: Authoritarian

Inflation: China has a serious inflation problem, with food prices at the forefront.

Unemployment: 4.2%

Social media: Significant penetration, but government aggressively censors

Conclusion: China has all the ingredients except the big one: unemployment. Now, there's no guarantee rural China won't see an uprising related to soaring prices and high unemployment there, but it's unlikely to be passed on to the country's cities. It would take a massive economic downturn, like one created by a liquidity crisis leading to a banking crisis leading to a recession, to trigger an unemployment surge that would threaten the regime.

所有跟帖: 

a strong central government can always rations basic foods... -zhmz888- 给 zhmz888 发送悄悄话 zhmz888 的博客首页 (57 bytes) () 02/01/2011 postreply 09:12:10

中国会越来越强,天天反中“崩溃论”者,已经起到免疫力作用。 -风雾- 给 风雾 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/01/2011 postreply 09:27:48

章的中国崩溃论崇拜者。 -明开- 给 明开 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 02/01/2011 postreply 09:43:39

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