泰坦尼克号数据分析说明

来源: 海岱清士 2016-11-11 23:44:34 [] [旧帖] [给我悄悄话] 本文已被阅读: 次 (3325 bytes)

数据来自:https://blogtanic.wordpress.com/tag/titanic-survival-rates/

 

一等舱生还率显著高于二、三等舱。如果一等舱男乘客想逃生的话,我敢肯定他们的生存比例接近100%。你们能说这67%自愿选择死亡的男人不高贵吗?

二等舱男乘客生还比例是最低的,9.4%。由于二等舱妇孺生还比例(76.9%、100%)显著高于三等舱妇孺(45.7%、36%),说明二等舱男乘客想逃生的机会高于三等舱,但是,他们放弃了。

男船员死亡比例为21.7%,与男乘客的18.4%,从统计学上来说,并无差别的。许多幸存船员是在甲板上工作的,这种工作性质增加了他们生存的机会,就象一二等舱的乘客可以因为舱位的关系,生存机会大增。

妇孺的生还比例分别为73%、51.7%,显著高于男人20.2%。

拿这事否定泰坦尼克号男乘客和船员的英雄气概,这种人不是出于无知,就是别有用心。

 

These figures should be taken as a general guide only. There will never be a definitive total either for survivors or victims of the Titanic disaster; no one knows for sure exactly how many people were on board, and there are further discrepancies between the various lists of survivors. The above tallies are based on the official statistics published by the British Inquiry, with adjustments for known errors.

Just over two thirds of all those on board, passengers and crew, died in the disaster. The survival rate for men travelling first-class was well over three times the rate for those travelling second-class, and double that for men in steerage.

The only child travelling either first- or second-class who did not survive, two-year-old Loraine Allison, died because her parents remained aboard searching for their baby son Trevor, not realising that he’d left with his nurse on lifeboat 11.

More than half the women, and an even higher proportion of the children, travelling third-class failed to find a place in the lifeboats. The death rate is thought to have been especially high among those passengers who did not speak English.

John R. Henderson of Ithaca College Library has prepared a comprehensive in-depth summary of survival rates among passengers of different origins, which you can see by clicking here. I should point out that I had not seen Mr Henderson’s work myself when I prepared the chart above.

For the crew as for the passengers, survival rates correlated with their location on the ship. All seven of the Titanic’s quartermasters, and all six of her lookouts survived, as did two thirds of her deck crew, whereas only around 22 percent of those who worked in the engine rooms managed to escape. Out of the 68 restaurant staff, three were rescued. All eight of the ship’s musicians, and all five of her postal workers, died in the sinking. Twenty out of the ship’s 23 female employees survived.

所有跟帖: 

泰船从撞上冰山到沉没历时160分钟,一等舱生还率显著高于二、三等舱?16艘救生艇只需不到70个船员即可,结果生还了210多船员 -头发与财富成反比- 给 头发与财富成反比 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/11/2016 postreply 23:57:32

你试一试从最底层(共7层),倾斜并陌生的船舱,来逃生,看看你的机会有多大?如果男人、船员想逃生的话,生存机会远高于妇孺; -海岱清士- 给 海岱清士 发送悄悄话 (98 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 00:29:32

爬7层楼梯只是几分钟的时间,而在撞船到沉没的160分钟里,依然有大量三等舱的乘客困在甲板下,妇孺优先不适用三等舱 -头发与财富成反比- 给 头发与财富成反比 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 02:03:20

单独看每层, 很明显每层都体现了男英雄气概 -haobuhao- 给 haobuhao 发送悄悄话 haobuhao 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 00:31:58

嗯,包括最底层船舱的8名华人船工在内的200多名船员都可以逃生,大量妇孺在内三等舱的乘客无助等死 -头发与财富成反比- 给 头发与财富成反比 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 04:15:04

你的意思是船员、三等舱男乘客卑鄙,坐看三等舱妇孺淹死? -海岱清士- 给 海岱清士 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 07:53:19

事实是所谓的“妇孺先行乘客先行”仅适用于头等舱和二等舱 -头发与财富成反比- 给 头发与财富成反比 发送悄悄话 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 08:01:51

你这是180度叛变投敌啊,鼓吹起三等舱应该不管妇孺死活 -haobuhao- 给 haobuhao 发送悄悄话 haobuhao 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 08:19:17

对,这个事实在老美的一些基础统计学书本中作为例子,提起过。 -多哥- 给 多哥 发送悄悄话 多哥 的博客首页 (0 bytes) () 11/12/2016 postreply 13:43:50

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